AfD increases its lead over Merz's bloc to a record 10 points for INSA
Support for the "Alternative for Germany" (AfD) in a new nationwide INSA poll rose to 29.5%, while Chancellor Friedrich Merz's CDU/CSU bloc received 19.5%. The gap between them reached 10 percentage points — the highest figure in the history of INSA polls.
The survey was conducted for Bild from September 18 to 21 among 2,004 people. This is the first INSA poll after the elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania on September 20, although some respondents answered before the vote.
Compared to the previous comparable measurement, the AfD gained 0.5 percentage points, reaching 29.5%. Support for the CDU/CSU remained at 19.5%. Thus, it is precisely the gap between the two political forces in the INSA study that increased to a record 10 points.
The Social Democratic Party of Germany received 13.5%, gaining one point. The Greens received the same amount, with their figure down 0.5 points. The Left Party received 10.5%.
The Free Democratic Party, with 4.5%, remains below the five-percent threshold required to enter the Bundestag on party lists. The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance received 3.5%, while other parties together received 5.5%.
The new measurement comes after a series of unsuccessful regional elections for the CDU. In the elections of September 20 in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the party received 4.9% and for the first time in the history of the Federal Republic of Germany failed to overcome the five-percent threshold in state elections. In Berlin, the CDU received 18.8%, while the Left Party received 25.7%.
At the same time, the 10-point gap is a record specifically for INSA polls, not among all German polling institutes. In a previously published September study by YouGov, the AfD received 29%, and the CDU/CSU received 18%, meaning the difference was 11 percentage points. Kurs already wrote about this poll on September 15.
Polls reflect respondents' political preferences at the time of the survey and are not a forecast of the outcome of the next federal elections.
